Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.
Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.
Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.
At the gate, On time out of MIA for GND. Well done, Jim.Double secret info, wink wink wink....
Enjoy your on-time flight[ out of Miami].
Highs, lows and fronts, to start with.Ive been trying to follow this, but am not seeing through the fog of inside humor.
The storm is just east of the Grand Bahamas. What's to keep this storm from going over Lake Okeechobee, south over Ft Myers, and then up to Ft Walton?
The Force is with you.My jedi senses suggest Ft Myers should get ready.
The models are slightly diverging at this moment, which means they are not forecasting that HIGH's movement the same.You might notice the models show a ≈120° turn to go behind that HIGH as it passes.
That is the key.
When and where does Dorian turn North?
Well got my imply.Trying to understand the implications
Kind of.You are implying that the Antilles Current (variable) and the Gulfstream [won't be replenishing that heat]
I'm no expert, but I don't think that is entirely true. Gravity from the moon, sun and even other planets in our solar system along with the rotating Earth itself, causes tectonic movement that also generates heat beneath the ocean. Mid ocean ridges, the Polynesian Ring of Fire, other volcanic hot spots like the Hawaiian Isles may contribute to ocean warming such as El Nino. These hot spots can be cyclic and/or moving beneath the Earth's crust.And fact, not implication.
The only fuel source we have for ALL Ocean heat, including currents.
My fact comment in post #78 has been clarified.but I don't think that is entirely true