Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.
Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.
Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.
The models are converging again.Any thoughts on if this thing will cut across Florida into the Gulf and power back up?
and the tops winds were? [gust of 46 knots]Looks like it passed Bouy 41046 with a low of 29.61 early this morning.
The slower it goes the bigger the probability it will grow stronger in the hotter waters it is entering. Slow storm bad, fast storm bad but better.As long as it keeps its slow pace, we might just make it in and out of MIA Sunday morning before the SHTF.
Understand that!The slower it goes the bigger the probability it will grow stronger in the hotter waters it is entering. Slow storm bad, fast storm bad but better.
That turn is a Stall...You might notice the models show a ≈120° turn to go behind that HIGH as it passes.
Jim...You might notice the models show a ≈120° turn to go behind that HIGH as it passes.
That is the key.
When and where does Dorian turn North?
If in the Gulf, it won't stay long.
The winner!!!I’ll bite! A low.
Usually the teacher's pet in my time.....There is always one to raise their hand and volunteer an answer when the Teacher asks a question...