By now most of you Gulf Sailors have heard of the area of Investigation 90 on the Yucatan.
A few of us, @jssailem , have been following this potential now for at least 10 days.
[ More on Rufus later ]
I alerted a few friends, last week, "Don't plan for a dry Gulf Memorial Day weekend"
_______
The generation of this storm came from the Eastern Pacific, which WAY out of normal.
Typical tropical potentials are Born in the Caribbean or West Africa.
_______
Right now, a High Pressure front from Pacific North West is stalling and pushing the tracking models. Hurricane Hunters will check it out late today ]25th].
Upper air steering currents will tend to push this windy storm to the East.
It will be called Alberto, since, IMHO, a named storm has many implications as to Government and Insurance Companies. Just one, measure of >39 mph winds will get it named. [rant done]
_______
The Heat Potential is mainly in South West Caribbean. The Gulf is still cool.
So it will gain strength until it is over the Gulf and become mainly rain, rain, rain on the Eastern Side.
Eastern Gulf Coast Rains expected through Wednesday.
_________
Rufus
He is a mid term forecaster who is a favorite of farmers et. al. in the Pacific North West. Jssailem introduced me to Rufus, since the PNW controls our moisture and High Pressure fronts. Rufus forecast this storm around May 4. What the heck?
No way José!! Strange but true. Well, Rufus has had me scrambling and searching what the heck is going on this year. A few notable happenings...
1) Has anyone noted.."Lack of Tornadoes"? OK has the lowest tornadoes on record.
2) Sahara Winds are Way Way south suggesting Spin off's will be very south.
3) Our Sun has had ZERO sunspots for 10+Days, never seen before since 1700's.
4) Equatorial Pacific is 2+ degrees cooler than normal.
5) La Niñita is ending without much effects.
6) Spring was late and snows lasting longer and way north.
7) The Heat Potential for storm generation is way down.
Jim...
PS: I normally do this forecasting for my friends, locally, since they are still "Katrina Shocked" and fear the worst.
A few of us, @jssailem , have been following this potential now for at least 10 days.
[ More on Rufus later ]
I alerted a few friends, last week, "Don't plan for a dry Gulf Memorial Day weekend"
_______
The generation of this storm came from the Eastern Pacific, which WAY out of normal.
Typical tropical potentials are Born in the Caribbean or West Africa.
_______
Right now, a High Pressure front from Pacific North West is stalling and pushing the tracking models. Hurricane Hunters will check it out late today ]25th].
Upper air steering currents will tend to push this windy storm to the East.
It will be called Alberto, since, IMHO, a named storm has many implications as to Government and Insurance Companies. Just one, measure of >39 mph winds will get it named. [rant done]
_______
The Heat Potential is mainly in South West Caribbean. The Gulf is still cool.
So it will gain strength until it is over the Gulf and become mainly rain, rain, rain on the Eastern Side.
Eastern Gulf Coast Rains expected through Wednesday.
_________
Rufus
He is a mid term forecaster who is a favorite of farmers et. al. in the Pacific North West. Jssailem introduced me to Rufus, since the PNW controls our moisture and High Pressure fronts. Rufus forecast this storm around May 4. What the heck?
No way José!! Strange but true. Well, Rufus has had me scrambling and searching what the heck is going on this year. A few notable happenings...
1) Has anyone noted.."Lack of Tornadoes"? OK has the lowest tornadoes on record.
2) Sahara Winds are Way Way south suggesting Spin off's will be very south.
3) Our Sun has had ZERO sunspots for 10+Days, never seen before since 1700's.
4) Equatorial Pacific is 2+ degrees cooler than normal.
5) La Niñita is ending without much effects.
6) Spring was late and snows lasting longer and way north.
7) The Heat Potential for storm generation is way down.
Jim...
PS: I normally do this forecasting for my friends, locally, since they are still "Katrina Shocked" and fear the worst.
