forecasts

By now most of you Gulf Sailors have heard of the area of Investigation 90 on the Yucatan. A few of us, @jssailem , have been following this potential now for at least 10 days.;) [ More on Rufus later ] I alerted a few friends, last week, "Don't plan for a dry Gulf Memorial Day weekend":(...

The newest tropical wave off Africa is moving rapidly West, a bit south of the previous 2016 waves. The Hurricane Hunters are investigating today. All of the computer models are forecasting a NNW turn by Friday the 30th. The reason for the abrupt turn are 3 , back to back, High Pressure...

Julia is stalled but should die as a High Pressure front now over VA & NC rips through it. ______ Karl is being pulled towards the Low Pressure of Julia, strengthening as it turns to the North and, as I thought, should be Fish Hurricane. _____ Invest 96L, now off African coast, look looks like a...

The newest African wave is on its way toward us. It will steady on and be more forecastable on Sept 20th. The Bad News... 1) Slow moving versus the previous 5 tropical waves birthed there. 2) Its course is projected to be in the optimum USA strike zone. 3) It organized quickly like Julia...

The Hurricane Season is trying the ole' "one, two, three" combination punch, looking for a knock out.:yikes: But... USA weather has a 4 counter punch defense (High Pressure waves) moving across from West to South East now.:waycool: I doubt any Invest has a chance at a significant impact to...

The newest African Tropical Wave is approaching the southern Caribbean and should be near Puerto Rico about Tuesday the 6th. So far, not much circulation and is gratefully fast moving over average temperature waters. I appears that it will take a more westerly course over the next 5 days. We...

The most worrisome tropical wave this season is entering the warm West African Atlantic. Long Range steering current's forecast show a fast moving direct Shot at the Caribbean. The bit of hope is that this may not be a Big storm. The forecast path follows 4 previous storms that removed energy...

Invest 99 L is still not even organized. It will track over the Bahamas and into South Florida at probably ±40 mph winds and maybe 6" rain at worst spots. The waters temperature on this track is 1° above average (not too high for intensifying) This is solely my Prediction ahead of news...

Tropical Storm Fiona is struggling to keep her TS status. It is on track to move North and miss USA. Double check on her about Wednesday 24th. ______ Invest 99L The course is headed toward the lesser Antilles, but has not strengthened. This one could target Florida, but a High Pressure front...

I am posting this forum, since I am an amateur Hurricane Forecaster. I began my study after my City of Waveland MS, was completely destroyed by Hurricane Katrina. The shock effect had most survivors scared each time a Storm formed in the following years. My forecasts are days ahead of the...