Tracking models are on the map now, but differ.
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For Reference...
GFS = NOAA or Government which Focuses on USA et.al. It is assigned a Slot in World Wide Weather that slot is "L" for Atlantic Side
Thus Invest 97L
ECMWF = European Models, but has grown as a Paid service for Global Forecasting. 77 models that collaborate and verify.
Note: Over the last few years, John and I both observed ECMWF is better until you get close to USA, then GFS rules.
_____________________________
Invest 92L model you see in the News is GFS.
The key date to see fate to this Storm is
Saturday July 3rd
Our quick analysis....
ECMWF combines it with several LOW's and spreads out over a wide area and it dies a rainy death.
GFS has it getting HEAT fuel from the Caribbean , and is what is showing now and will be named "ELSA".
The good news is the paths are over Cooler waters.
This is the time to prepare.
Jim and John
PS: We have a bet on which Model wins on Saturday.
____________________________
For Reference...
GFS = NOAA or Government which Focuses on USA et.al. It is assigned a Slot in World Wide Weather that slot is "L" for Atlantic Side
Thus Invest 97L
ECMWF = European Models, but has grown as a Paid service for Global Forecasting. 77 models that collaborate and verify.
Note: Over the last few years, John and I both observed ECMWF is better until you get close to USA, then GFS rules.
_____________________________
Invest 92L model you see in the News is GFS.
The key date to see fate to this Storm is
Saturday July 3rd
Our quick analysis....
ECMWF combines it with several LOW's and spreads out over a wide area and it dies a rainy death.
GFS has it getting HEAT fuel from the Caribbean , and is what is showing now and will be named "ELSA".
The good news is the paths are over Cooler waters.
This is the time to prepare.
Jim and John
PS: We have a bet on which Model wins on Saturday.
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