• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

Hurricane Eta... Cat 4

JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Yes folks, even though November 1 ends December 1st the official end 2020 Hurricane season, it aint over yet!
The HEAT in the Caribbean is still big.
ohc_aQG3_latest_natl-4.gif



AL292020_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png


And guess what happens to Hurricane Eta?

Look out Florida!!
GFS tracking shows Cuba and South Florida on Nov 8th then heading into the Gulf too.:facepalm:

Forecasting beyond 10 days is crazy, but they are now up to 16 days.:badbad:
Jim...
 
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jssailem

jssailem

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Oct 22, 2014
21,088
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
Yes the folks in Central America are in for a drenching.
Sometime the end of this week or the weekend we will start to get a clearer picture as to how much storm activity is still in the Caribbean.
 
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JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Hurricane Hunters just drop a buoy in South Eye Wall.
Surface winds at 138 knots!!

Poor Nicaragua!

Dammit Jaime... for them.

PS Jaime = James in Spanish but LLEM pronounced Jim in Spanish
 
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JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
The newest GFS tacking model has a Hurricane Eta hitting South Florida on November 8-9
Keep close watch and prepare now...
Jim...
 
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jssailem

jssailem

.
Oct 22, 2014
21,088
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
ETA is being a bit of a pain for all who live in the Caribbean. ETA dumped torrential rain fall on parts of Central America. Then it wandered off into the waters off of Honduras where it is now building. If as it is expected ETA will cross over to CUBA and rain on CUBA. From there is is expected to enter the Strait of Florida and Rain on Florida. You folks in Southern Florida and the Keys have a couple of days to prepare.
Listen to your local weather services for advise.
1604690613275.png
 
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JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
This is the way Eta looks to be tracking on the GFS model today.
29L_gefs_latest.png


Amazing how timing is everything on storm movements...
Jim...

PS: Eta is now a Snake:facepalm:
 
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