• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

TS Kristy Gone, New Storm starting

Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Here we go again in the Pacific.:doh:

TS Kristy should not get too strong, as she tracking behind Hurricane Hector.

But Kristy will track a bit North of Hector and will weaken before affecting Hawaii as a very weak storm on August 13.
Jim...

PS: The Pacific will calm a bit, at least through Aug 16, 2018.
PSS: The Atlantic and Caribbean is calm through 8/16/2018 too.
 
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Kristy and John will die before making an land strike threat.:)
But...
I don't like the next potential Pacific storm that will be spinning up around
Thursday August 16, 2018
It has a steering current track that looks to may track toward Hawaii.
Jim...

PS: Atlantic and Caribbean still looks calm through the 18th.
 
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Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
I don't like the next potential Pacific storm that will be spinning up around
Thursday August 16, 2018
It has a steering current track that looks to may track toward Hawaii.
It will show up more on August 17th.
The good news...
It looks to track South of Hawaii on the 21st and not be to strong.
Jim...

PS: The Pacific has no new disturbances and Atlantic will remain calm through 26th

PSS: El Niño is not starting up as expected but remains under watch.
 
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Oct 19, 2017
7,744
O'Day 19 Littleton, NH
James,
As the resident weather guru, can you answer definitively the difference between a hurricane and a typhoon? I was always under the impression that hurricanes did not occur in the Pacific. The typhoons chased them out.

- Will (Dragonfly)
 
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
can you answer definitively the difference between a hurricane and a typhoon?
Yes, I can explain why.
The world is divided into segments by a United World Weather community.
NOAA has the National Hurricane Center [NHC]

The World has agreed NOAA has 3 Oceanic Areas as lead monitor .
1) Atlantic
2) Caribbean
3) Eastern Pacific

So if a storm is birthed in those regions it is tagged...
HURRICANE
or
Tropical Storm, Depression, etc.

If birthed near, say Australia Area, it is a Typhoon.

Putting a modern twist on who gets to name the "Child"

"Whose your Daddy!";)
_____
Interesting to me, NOAA needed to find another designator, when a storm was birthed in Northern Atlantic area that was

NOT birthed in the Tropical Zone.

They reported it as...
NON-Tropical Storm.:rolleyes:

_____
NOAA maintains weather Buoy, Satellites, Ocean traveling Vessels, Hurricane Hunters, etc. and is the key to taking the lead.
As of today, the United Kingdom has the best tracking models for Hurricanes.
Jim...

PS: I think it may be the Scots:biggrin:
 
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