Any activity for this season should be generally low in intensity.
Our Sun is cooling on it natural Energy cycle.
Many real scientists are predicting the ≈11 year cycle to continue through cycle #26 or ≈22 yrs
The above graph is from...
https://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml [NASA]
Many scientists are stating this is the coolest our SUN had been in over 100 years.
Since Tropical Intensity is powered only by the Sun [ Solar energy can be stored by our oceans] we all should still prepare.
_________
Trivia: A now famous person predicted in 1998 a disaster. Remember the "hocky stick" curve he declared (above graph starting in 1995) would continue forever?
Oh well, so much for Trivial things.
_________
Many factors are now being Modeled to help us forecast Tropical waves. Models are being improved with much more information, now available to scientist.
This is just my humble opinion of 2017 outlook and tropical weather only.
Wishing all a Safe 2017!
Jim...
Our Sun is cooling on it natural Energy cycle.
Many real scientists are predicting the ≈11 year cycle to continue through cycle #26 or ≈22 yrs
The above graph is from...
https://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml [NASA]
Many scientists are stating this is the coolest our SUN had been in over 100 years.
Since Tropical Intensity is powered only by the Sun [ Solar energy can be stored by our oceans] we all should still prepare.
_________
Trivia: A now famous person predicted in 1998 a disaster. Remember the "hocky stick" curve he declared (above graph starting in 1995) would continue forever?
Oh well, so much for Trivial things.
_________
Many factors are now being Modeled to help us forecast Tropical waves. Models are being improved with much more information, now available to scientist.
This is just my humble opinion of 2017 outlook and tropical weather only.
Wishing all a Safe 2017!
Jim...