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Sailing is all about the Weather.
Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.
Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.
Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.
PTC 9 ---> Hurricane Helene
- Thread starter JamesG161
- Start date
I just corrected Storm Size to Cat 4
Helene is now forecast to be an extreme Category 4 hurricane at landfall. Residents should prepare accordingly.
DAMMIT Jim...
It used to just be my First Mate that wanted to hang me. Now my coworkers are standing in line!Kermit now on his way to Helene.
View attachment 227749
Notice how @Kermit is hanging
Stay Safe Kermie !!!
Fast moving across the Gulf today
Already Cat 2.
Power line trucks staged it Pensacola.
Katrina Storm Surge was 40 feet.
Hurricane Helene estimate > 20 feet.
Pray for them.
Dammit Jim...
Already Cat 2.
Power line trucks staged it Pensacola.
Katrina Storm Surge was 40 feet.
Hurricane Helene estimate > 20 feet.
Pray for them.
Dammit Jim...
I fear too many here in Beaufort are focused on the track rather than the impacts off of the track. Windy is forecasting wind gusts around 50 kts and up to 63 kts (depending on the model) for a period from about 2 am to 10 am on Friday mooring. I have prepared my boat to weather these (I hope) but I am not sure the rest of those our moorings have. I took pictures of my boat and informed the club manager that at least one boat has its mooring lines wrapped around the mooring ball chain under the ball. Can't do much more myself. I also noted that most of my neighbors seem to be ignoring this. Hope I am wrong.
Last edited:
jssailem
SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
- Oct 22, 2014
- 21,839
The hurricane landing as terrible as it will be, I think, is just the beginning of this storms impact. It reminds me of Camille when it came ashore in 1969. The storm spawned tornadoes, flooding and destruction all across the south. Tennessee, Georgia, the Carolinas and Virginia might want to check their storm preparations. The Gulf states are warned by the Hurricane Center.
Hurricane Hunters in Storm now.
Note the Buoy number 42036 that has a Camera too
NDBC - Station 42036 Recent Data
Latest data
DAMMIT Jim...
Note the Buoy number 42036 that has a Camera too
NDBC - Station 42036 Recent Data
Latest data
DAMMIT Jim...
Here in Jensen Beach we have 22 mph from the SE. When a plume of rain hits us it is hard rain - sheets of rain. But mostly if the band isn’t on us, it is dry. Looking at the radar the next plume west of us is on the Florida Gulf coast. That’s about 100 miles. Why nothing in between is a mystery to me.
Thinking of our Gulf Coast sailors including Don from Sarasota. TWC interviewed a women in the Sarasota area who said she was a live abroad on her sailboat, which she recently purchased. She was ashore but described friends who stayed aboard their boats. Seemed OK to me. They were sweating their ground tackle but that would be normal for a moored boat in a storm. The winds were in the mid thirties with higher gusts.