• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

PTC 9 ---> Hurricane Helene

JamesG161

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Feb 14, 2014
7,713
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
They're now predicting Cat 4!
:plus::plus:
I just corrected Storm Size to Cat 4

Helene is now forecast to be an extreme Category 4 hurricane at landfall. Residents should prepare accordingly.


DAMMIT Jim...
 
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JamesG161

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Feb 14, 2014
7,713
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Dammit Jim Forecasting copy.jpg


No joking, but this is Dammit Jim... Telling all SBO folks.

This a VERY BIG and Powerful Hurricane.


GYWuzUjXcAAovRa.jpeg


Evacuate now, Traffic on Interstate 10 is heavy

GYUsq6ZXkAEvi14.jpeg



DAMMIT JIM...
 

JamesG161

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Feb 14, 2014
7,713
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Fast moving across the Gulf today

Screenshot 2024-09-26 at 8.51.21 AM.png


Already Cat 2.

Power line trucks staged it Pensacola.

Katrina Storm Surge was 40 feet.

Hurricane Helene estimate > 20 feet.

Pray for them.

Dammit Jim...
 
Oct 26, 2010
2,023
Hunter 40.5 Beaufort, SC
I fear too many here in Beaufort are focused on the track rather than the impacts off of the track. Windy is forecasting wind gusts around 50 kts and up to 63 kts (depending on the model) for a period from about 2 am to 10 am on Friday mooring. I have prepared my boat to weather these (I hope) but I am not sure the rest of those our moorings have. I took pictures of my boat and informed the club manager that at least one boat has its mooring lines wrapped around the mooring ball chain under the ball. Can't do much more myself. I also noted that most of my neighbors seem to be ignoring this. Hope I am wrong.
 
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jssailem

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Oct 22, 2014
22,217
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
The hurricane landing as terrible as it will be, I think, is just the beginning of this storms impact. It reminds me of Camille when it came ashore in 1969. The storm spawned tornadoes, flooding and destruction all across the south. Tennessee, Georgia, the Carolinas and Virginia might want to check their storm preparations. The Gulf states are warned by the Hurricane Center.
 
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Jan 1, 2006
7,385
Slickcraft 26 Sailfish
Here in Jensen Beach we have 22 mph from the SE. When a plume of rain hits us it is hard rain - sheets of rain. But mostly if the band isn’t on us, it is dry. Looking at the radar the next plume west of us is on the Florida Gulf coast. That’s about 100 miles. Why nothing in between is a mystery to me.
 

JamesG161

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Feb 14, 2014
7,713
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
This was just posted and what happened After Hurricane Katrina.

Screenshot 2024-09-26 at 4.18.07 PM.png


There were so many Katrina bodies that could not be ID'd.

DAMMIT Jim...
 

JamesG161

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Feb 14, 2014
7,713
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Hurricane Helene Just made

Category 4

Screenshot 2024-09-26 at 5.28.17 PM.png
 
Jan 1, 2006
7,385
Slickcraft 26 Sailfish
Thinking of our Gulf Coast sailors including Don from Sarasota. TWC interviewed a women in the Sarasota area who said she was a live abroad on her sailboat, which she recently purchased. She was ashore but described friends who stayed aboard their boats. Seemed OK to me. They were sweating their ground tackle but that would be normal for a moored boat in a storm. The winds were in the mid thirties with higher gusts.
 

Kermit

.
Jul 31, 2010
5,666
AquaCat 12.5 17342 Wateree Lake, SC
Here in Sumter, SC we’ve had frog-strangling rains. (See what I did there?) I’m glad I brought my Ninja Woodfire Grill in. A limb smashed its table and would have crushed the grill. Other than that, lots of branches all over Sumter. I count my First Mate and me lucky.
 
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JamesG161

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Feb 14, 2014
7,713
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
I thought we would post a few things here.

Hopefully all SBO folks had minimals issues.

HHunter Kermit in storm

Note: it takes 2 pilots and one assistant on the air speed.

_______

USCG rescue

Sailor and his Dog

At this point we are trying to present the story of how much

STORED SOLAR ENERGY

Was dumped on the land masses

WORLD WIDE.

Jim...
 
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