Tropical Storm/Hurricane Information

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Dec 9, 2008
426
1980 Hunter 30 "Denali" Seaford, VA
Haven't seen it mentioned yet, but I know most sailors must be watching to see where Hurricane Bill goes. Obviously a major event for anyone in the path of a storm like this. It looks like Bermuda might catch an edge (or more) of Bill and it continues to look like New England and Maine have some probability for a U.S. landfall if it doesn't get pushed out by the trough that is helping curve it to the east. Being on the water in Virginia, this time of year I cannot help but check frequently what is going in the tropics.

Most of you might know Weather Underground (www.wunderground.com), there is a tropical blog by Jeff Masters that has many amateur and some professional meteorologists posting information and track information regarding active tropical waves or named storms. The tropical section of that site has a lot of links to include predicted tracks, most of the models, historical information related to a particular or similar storm.

The National Hurricane Center (www.nhc.noaa.gov) provides the official updates as well as links to models tracks and historical data as well.

I have 3 immediate family members that are meteorologists/atmospheric scientists so I have some knowledge as well as resources when it comes to such events. Since this type of weather event effects the whole boating community, I find it appropriate to post information to our community here in the event that anyone is not aware.

Hurricane Bill

The NHC advisory cone of uncertainty:


Gulf of Mexico:
There is a possibility of the remnants of Ana to reform after entering the GOM


Tropical Waves coming off Africa:



**Edit** adding another image, storm about to make Category 4

I'm sure that anyone on Bermuda is aware that Bill is heading that way and making all necessary preparations.
 

RichH

.
Feb 14, 2005
4,773
Tayana 37 cutter; I20/M20 SCOWS Worton Creek, MD
I'm sure that anyone on Bermuda is aware that Bill is heading that way and making all necessary preparations.
I got a call earlier this evening from a friend in Bermuda .... he wanted to know how big is a 'cubit'. :)
 
Dec 9, 2008
426
1980 Hunter 30 "Denali" Seaford, VA
I got a call earlier this evening from a friend in Bermuda .... he wanted to know how big is a 'cubit'. :)
My 'cubit' isn't very long, but it's fairly thick, and I use it well :eek:

We ARE talking about my forearm length right?

**As a note, I just typed this in and noticed the wife was still logged in, I bet she would have been suprised with that comment :D I deleted it under her name and still had the nerve to repost... I don't know what that says about me...
 
Dec 9, 2008
426
1980 Hunter 30 "Denali" Seaford, VA
The latest models now move the storm more west and look more likely for a US landfall event, though the GFS is the model I trust the most.



GFSx Model
 
Jan 1, 2006
8,008
Slickcraft 26 Sailfish
Thanks for the post - please keep it up. http://wx1.bnl.gov/weather/WxMaps.jsp is a good weather site but I admit I don't know enough to make use of a lot of the info there. Maybe sailboatowners.com could be a vehicle for teaching about weather?!!! Maybe a dedicated forum or even an online course?
 
Jan 27, 2008
3,092
ODay 35 Beaufort, NC
If you can take a little levity with all this anxiety

Thanks for the post - please keep it up. http://wx1.bnl.gov/weather/WxMaps.jsp is a good weather site but I admit I don't know enough to make use of a lot of the info there. Maybe sailboatowners.com could be a vehicle for teaching about weather?!!! Maybe a dedicated forum or even an online course?
First course:
Red sky at night
sailors delight
Red sky in morning
Salors take warning

Sorry I couldn't resist. :)
 
Dec 17, 2008
35
Morgan 30 Classic Long Island
Capt. Jon,
Just read that Blog you recommended. Great stuff. Thanks for the heads up on that. I use that site, but didn't realize that the wunderblog stuff was there.
Thanks
 
Dec 9, 2008
426
1980 Hunter 30 "Denali" Seaford, VA
Capt. Jon,
Just read that Blog you recommended. Great stuff. Thanks for the heads up on that. I use that site, but didn't realize that the wunderblog stuff was there.
Thanks
Glad to point it out. I've been on that site for years and during hurricane season I want to know exactly what is going on so we can be prepared.

Hurricance Bill is making things interesting, I'd sure like to see those models change and push him out to sea. Looks like Bermuda might be alright afterall, hard to say about N.E. and Maine, not to mention Newfoundland/Nova Scotia.
 
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