...will be around 24 months from now? :cry: Some of us remember the shake-out of the early 80's. It was devastating to the SoCal marine industry and many of the larger brands disappeared. No doubt this will have a similar effect. At the Long Beach Boat Show, I was listening to a manager of a large brokerage speaking on his cell phone wondering how the relief package would play out before congress; talking for a good 35 minutes. There were five financial firms represented; only one managed to show up. The smaller marine vendors we rely on were diminished by ...?... maybe a third to a half. I think I have noticed a slowing of posting action on the SBO sites. I would expect that as people focus on larger priorities. OK, so DON'T please turn this into a political thread since the dynamics are already in place regardless and the question is really how we think things will change. Last time I remember the smaller chandleries folding or being brought up by WM. Local sail lofts were consolidated into larger entities. That seemed to work out over the long term. Boat builders consolidated or went away. Consolidated builders didn't do well either as I recall and a few of those went away too. I think most of the marine electronics vendors went away with the few exceptions like Shakespeare who absorbed smaller firms. I suspect Hun/Bene/Cat will survive by slashing and hunkering down. I suspect the smaller builders won't. I would guess the electronic firms who have a large footprint outside the marine industries will make it but that those who are not diversified won't, even large ones. Edge to Garmin and Furuno. Sailmakers who have lower cost offshore facilities make it, local lofts who do their own lofting don't. Maybe a resurgence in steel and aluminum construction for smaller builders. Any other thoughts? (This diversion brought to you in a hope you won't watch your 401K for a little while
)