That explanation seems plausible. My boat is on a mooring for several months. The instructions for tensioning the rig seems quite vague to me. I’ve never been sure of the difference between “just hand tight” and “taunt.” Vague to say the least. Having the Loos gauge tension settings would be helpful.
Basically, rigging should be taunt enough at rest that the mast does not move as boat rocks in the waves while moored. You don't want it "bar tight", but you don't want to see the rigging loose while moored. While sailing, the leeward shrouds may go slightly slack, but rig needs t obe tight enough to keep mast from visibly moving. If you grad any piece of the standing rigging while boat is moored, and pull it towards you it should feel tight and you should then see the mast flex in that direction as you sight up the spar.
Sorry, hard to really describe/explain, I've been sailing all my life (over 60 years now) and I can tune my boat's rig by instinct...... so, hard to explain! However, experience leads me to believe that this was not a "sudden" failure, I suspect that cable was flexing and breaking strand by strand. My Widgeon's forestay had a single broken strand at the top swage one spring when I inspected it prior to launching, luckily, I live about 45 minutes from D&R Marine (aka: O'Day Parts) and it was only a slight detour to stop in on my way fro mhome to out cottage the next week and I was able to pick up a new one. I have not broken and standing rigging on my DS II yet, but have had the Cb lifting cable break from fatigue a few times!