Pacific North West - November departure From Tillamook Bay to Mexico - Good or Bad idea?

[jssailem]

Looking at the image the long full hull makes the boat possible to survive this beaching. It is unclear as to why he could not stay off the beach. The image is unclear. If there was rudder trouble that could be a nonstarter. Looking at the tides. Pacific City High tide 5:39 pm 6.23 ft for today, I would be wading out into the ocean and setting an anchor to serve as a kedge to pull the boat off shore if the boat is controllable. There is an off shore breeze for the next 36 hours. There is about a 6-day window before the next series of storms show up. Then it may be just a matter of time til that boat is lost.

 

[shemandr]

First thing I would do is get the fuel off the boat.
Obviously I don’t know the geography there. But I wonder if salvage is possible. I might be looking at chain saw prices. The last boat blown on the beach on LI got cut up by volunteers. A bucket loader carried away the pieces.
Too bad that isn’t in Newport. He looks like he could use a good bar!

 

[Michael Davis]

I’m sure that will just float off when the tide comes in!

 

[BAD ORCA]

Please ask the Cartel to wait a few more months before proceeding with the next shipment/delivery.

 

[BAD ORCA]

I'd say with friends like that, who needs enemies...

The strong El Niño this year is not working in their favor. One thing you haven't listed is their ability to forecast weather or if they might be using a weather forecaster. We are now pretty much in November - October is about to say bye-bye... Did Luke do his trip in a year of El Niño or in a year of La Niña? I'm not familiar with "Sailing Song Bird" and likely won't look it up...

That's a tough coast in November if my memory serves me...

With what you have posted - I would say it's a bad idea.

But who am I to give advice to another sailor????

dj

yeah point Loma would have been scarry last weekend. We were getting 35kts sustained wind with 40kt gusts in Marina Del Rey, a very protected bay. The point must have been 40+ - 50kts easily, sustained. Within 12 miles of coast have been some serious weather recently along the California coast.

 

[jssailem]

Here is an update to @mermike post # 15. The location is Ocean Shore WA. Boat skipper is ok. There are facebook posts at “Ocean Shores” group that suggest he is working to get the boat off the beach.

Does anyone think the rainbow in this image is a good omen?