It's Nockamixon, the HP LIMIT for the lake is 15hp (for all boats)... prevailing winds from Spring to Fall, average about 8 knots. A short shaft would be acceptable. NO chop, very little wake.
I WOULD suggest an alternator if you can afford the jump in price though, since Nox doesn't have power at the docks. I WILL tell you though, that despite what might be said, charging doesnt' happen with the alternator until you hit about 3/4 to full throttle. Most alternators are really 3-6amp chargers. So you'd need to spend several hours running your motor to reap any reward of charging, no charging from dead flat happening unless you have LOTS of fuel. That being said, it works well to maintain a battery though. If you also add a small solar charger to your circuit, you'll have enough power to use running lights for a few hours each month, and never need to worry about draining your battery because of it between the solar and the outboard (adding a solar panel to mine this winter, maybe a 25-40 watter)... I have a bunch of draw on my boat, VHF, wind, depth, speed, and radio though, so keeping charge is a bit harder.
I suffer from similar issues up on Lake Wallenpaupack. Wally is a larger lake by about 6 miles more than Nox, but it's an unlimited HP lake (more chop), but they STILL do not allow for power at the docks. The advantages of Wally are, of course, a larger lake, and its perfectly acceptable to swim in the lake (a huge bonus), and there are islands to explore. Because the lake is privately held (power company lake) it doesn't suffer from "NO PARK" syndrome, where DCNR controls your every move like at Nox. If the distance to drive is the same, its Wally hands down (which is why I am up there).
Don't get me wrong, I spent more hours on Lake Nox than likely half of the people in the Marina there. My father and I had boats there for probably a better part of 20 years. I also used to tournament fish the lake, and became good friends with several of the fish commission (that was in the 80s though).
Anyway, yeah I think 20 inch shaft and a nice alternator would be like the most excellent options you can get for that lake. 5hp would also be quite sufficient, and still easy enough to lug around, and get you hull speed just fine.
If you get bored, and want crew, hit me up shnool @ yahoo Nox is about the same distance from work for me as Wally.
Also you are welcome to come sail with me (I'll crew you drive) from May to Oct. Sure it's not a Capri, but my guess is you'll have fun just the same
By the way, the Capri on that lake has to be one of the "sportier" boats there. I saw 1 or 2 J22s, and I know the sailing school had a Capri 25, but the Capri 22 would (in my opinion) be the best of speed/cruise/trailer for that lake. You probably frequently speed past most other boats there. As I recall the "common" boats there are Precision 21s, 18s, and the occasional big boat of a Rhodes 22, or Precision 23. Actually when we were there, there wasn't anything larger than a 23 (might have been a restriction of the marina though I don't recall).