• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

Invest 91L --> PTC 1 --> TS Alex

JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,425
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
The remnants of Pacific Hurricane Agatha did cross Mexico and is now called...

Potential Tropical Cyclone One.

The first flight of the Hurricane Hunters are on their way to investigate.

Dry Air shear on the North West side is preventing a major development for a few days.

It should bring heavy rains to Southern Florida before crossing into the Atlantic.

It may be the first named storm of the season or Alex.
Jim...
 
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JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,425
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
The Hurricane Hunters found circulation.
recon_AF307-0301A-INVEST.png


Low surface winds and not very low Central Pressure [lowest was 1002 millibars]
Jim...
 
B

Benny17441

.
May 24, 2004
7,131
CC 30 South Florida
It's out of here, Miami got almost one foot of rain and many other parts of South Florida and the Keys got copious amounts of rain and some flooding but North of Tampa Bay hardly worth mentioning.
 
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shemandr

shemandr

.
Jan 1, 2006
7,077
Slickcraft 26 Sailfish
A nothing burger here in Martin County. An hour or two of rain early Saturday AM. Maybe some wind. I think the center passed over us Saturday PM with little wind or rain. Most the rain was 100 miles South.
 
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JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,425
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Tropical Storm Alex started in the Pacific and became mainly a Rain Event.

Just a Reminder, the fuel for these storms is NOT Sea Surface Temperature but...

Oceans Stored Solar Energy or HEAT

This is Today Heat Content in the Tropical Zones

ohc_aQG3_latest_natl.gif


Also TS Alex brushed by Bermuda

AL012022_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

No further disturbance on the 10 day view.

Jim...
 
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