Hurricane Mathew Prep Suggestions Welcome

Scott T-Bird

Scott T-Bird

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Oct 26, 2008
6,432
Catalina 320 Barnegat, NJ
I don't think so ... doesn't N follow M? Besides, I'm looking at the depression that is off the tip of Cuba right now. It progresses to south Florida on Thursday and stalls off the Florida coast line by late Sunday/ early Monday. You have to zoom into Cuba to see it's strength because if you just pan out to a larger window, the strength doesn't seem to show up right now for some reason.
 
Kermit

Kermit

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Jul 31, 2010
5,722
AquaCat 12.5 17342 Wateree Lake, SC
I just back from my trailerable boat that's in a slip. It's still in the slip after securing everything I can. With all the pine trees at our club and big-ass trees at home my trailerable boat will be safer in its slip. But I'm on an inland lake. If I do get damage I hope BoatUS will understand why I made the decision.
 
Scott T-Bird

Scott T-Bird

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Oct 26, 2008
6,432
Catalina 320 Barnegat, NJ
I like watching Windyty because you just hit the "play button" and you get to watch the weather projection for wind, rain and cloud cover for close to an entire weeks projection. Graphically, it's great. Just point to your area of interest and get a pinpoint projection as the graphic "plays". I just hope it is reasonably accurate!
 
Davidasailor26

Davidasailor26

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May 17, 2004
6,150
Beneteau Oceanis 37 Havre de Grace
Scott T-Bird said:
I don't think so ... doesn't N follow M? Besides, I'm looking at the depression that is off the tip of Cuba right now. It progresses to south Florida on Thursday and stalls off the Florida coast line by late Sunday/ early Monday. You have to zoom into Cuba to see it's strength because if you just pan out to a larger window, the strength doesn't seem to show up right now for some reason.
Click to expand
Sorry for the thread drift, but I think we're looking at different things. Here's what I see on Windyty for 2PM Sunday. They have it moving further offshore NE from there.
IMG_0031.PNG


Interestingly that also doesn't seem to match the official NHC track, which puts the eye just SE of Long Island at that time. I'd like to think that the Windyty model is more accurate because I certainly like their picture better, but we'll see.
 
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Gunni

Gunni

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Mar 16, 2010
5,937
Beneteau 411 Oceanis Annapolis
Windyty uses three weather models, the european center, the global forecast system, and the North American mesoscale. The last two are from NOAA, the european (ECWMF) has been pretty amazing in the last few years. The NAM5km has a shorter forecast. A pretty good down-n-dirty weather tool. Very visual.
 
Randall Schmidt

Randall Schmidt

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Mar 1, 2016
279
Oday 28 Tracy's Landing
I'm planning a trip down the ICW next year and will be in the Carolinas by about this time of year. What advice would you give to a traveler in this situation like that being faced by ICW boaters now as they watch the storm and wonder where it go?
 
Scott T-Bird

Scott T-Bird

.
Oct 26, 2008
6,432
Catalina 320 Barnegat, NJ
I just looked again this morning and the European model still shows the eye doing a semi-circle by the time it gets to South Carolina, ending its projection on Monday well offshore Florida. The GFS model extends all the way through next week, showing the eye circling all the way around back to the Bahamas. NAM projection ends on Friday afternoon on my screen, with the center still on the Florida coast. I'm curious about your screen shot as it doesn't resemble the pictures I see ... not even close!
 
Gunni

Gunni

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Mar 16, 2010
5,937
Beneteau 411 Oceanis Annapolis
Randall Schmidt said:
I'm planning a trip down the ICW next year and will be in the Carolinas by about this time of year. What advice would you give to a traveler in this situation like that being faced by ICW boaters now as they watch the storm and wonder where it go?
Click to expand
Wait until November. Hurricane season often goes out with a bang!
 
Randall Schmidt

Randall Schmidt

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Mar 1, 2016
279
Oday 28 Tracy's Landing
That was my initial plan but many have made the point that is quickly gets pretty chilly out that time of year so I moved my plans back to departing in September. I guess it is cold vs major storms...
 
Gunni

Gunni

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Mar 16, 2010
5,937
Beneteau 411 Oceanis Annapolis
In boating it is always about risk management. You manage tropical storm risk by buying warm clothes and travel the coast south after hurricane season.
 
Kings Gambit

Kings Gambit

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Jul 27, 2011
5,180
Bavaria 38E Alamitos Bay
The first major cold front of the Fall, often occurring mid- to late October, signals the impending death of the hurricane season for that year. After that, you may get a return of some warmish weather for a couple of weeks until the next front comes through. If there are no hurricane or tropical storm forecasts in the offing, that would likely be a good time to split for waters south. So, sit on ready until your window opens. Travelling in September is probably not the makings of the best laid plan, as you can see.
 
Ron20324

Ron20324

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Jan 22, 2008
8,050
Beneteau 323 Annapolis MD
[QUOTE="Gunni, post: ...Wait until November. Hurricane season often goes out with a bang![/QUOTE]

Folks I know who head south in October need to wait until Nov 1st to cross into Carolina. Nov 1st being "the end" of hurricane season- and the insurance company might not cover you. If there are none in the forecast, I'm sure they go anyway.
 
Scott T-Bird

Scott T-Bird

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Oct 26, 2008
6,432
Catalina 320 Barnegat, NJ
Sandy struck New Jersey on October 29, a year to the day after we had this snow storm that deposited 15" of snow on our deck in 2011. In 2012, I don't think there was any unusual fall weather leading up to the storm, but it got very cold immediately afterwards. It was very difficult to deal with our week-long power outage when it meant no heat. We had snow within days and all of November was very cold. I remember investigation efforts that we performed immediately afterwards were done in frigid weather and it didn't help that if was difficult to even find a place to warm up! The car heater was my best friend for a while. That, and our wood-burning stove. I was glad I had my firewood supply ready at that time.
 
Jacob Herman

Jacob Herman

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Sep 28, 2016
10
Catalina C250 WK Boynton
Well our C250 survived in Boynton by the marina.

With no other real options i put out a Danforth 75 and 100 feet of 5/8 chain and a 35 pound danforth and 100 foot of line.

They held and the boat made it. Everyone laughed at my giant anchor but i think it was the best choice!

Now to see if anyone didnt make it and I can buy a mast
 
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Likes: Rick D and kloudie1
Karyon

Karyon

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Jun 8, 2004
171
Hunter 23.5 Red deer, Alberta
Jacob Herman said:
Well our C250 survived in Boynton by the marina.

With no other real options i put out a Danforth 75 and 100 feet of 5/8 chain and a 35 pound danforth and 100 foot of line.

They held and the boat made it. Everyone laughed at my giant anchor but i think it was the best choice!

Now to see if anyone didnt make it and I can buy a mast
Click to expand
Good for you that your boat survived, now.. did you lose the mast or your boat didn't have a mast.
 
Jacob Herman

Jacob Herman

.
Sep 28, 2016
10
Catalina C250 WK Boynton
Karyon

I bought it without a mast. I bought the first boat i was ever on and its a learning experiance
 
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