I crossed coming south and north from the same general area last fall and spring. I had a waypoint about 10 miles SW of Cape San Blas. I used Sailflow for forecasting and it was excellant. I was advised to key off the West Tampa buoy and ONLY GO if the forecast for that buoy was less than 10 knots and less than 2 feet seas. My wife does not like rough ocean and following that advice, we made it smoothly across and back in the spring - and she wasn't upset by conditions encountered. Even with a low wind and wave forecast, we saw some 4 foot waves and winds in the 15 to 20 knot range for limited periods of time.
I would personally avoid Apalachicola and go out Port St. Joe or just direct from Panama City. The water east of Cape San Blas is shallow and during our fall crossing we saw a cluster of 8 shrimp boats at nigh, no AIS, and zigzagging the shoals south of the Cape. Even with radar, it was interesting dodging those guys at night.
I would not go to Steinhatchee or Cedar Key in my boat with 5 feet of draft. This is a much longer and much more exposed route in my opinion a,d will subject you to possible grounding unless you are very shallow draft.
Hope your trip works out, but the key to a successful trip across is to minimize exposure through shortest route, good weather forecasting and then get across the fastest way possible.
I would personally avoid Apalachicola and go out Port St. Joe or just direct from Panama City. The water east of Cape San Blas is shallow and during our fall crossing we saw a cluster of 8 shrimp boats at nigh, no AIS, and zigzagging the shoals south of the Cape. Even with radar, it was interesting dodging those guys at night.
I would not go to Steinhatchee or Cedar Key in my boat with 5 feet of draft. This is a much longer and much more exposed route in my opinion a,d will subject you to possible grounding unless you are very shallow draft.
Hope your trip works out, but the key to a successful trip across is to minimize exposure through shortest route, good weather forecasting and then get across the fastest way possible.