2024 Hurricane Forecasts

[jssailem]

NOAA Has just published its forecast.

Levi Cowan of Tropical Tidbits has shared his thoughts.

Tropical Tidbits

Tropical weather and Atlantic hurricane information, analysis, and forecasts by Levi Cowan.

www.tropicaltidbits.com

Colorado State University published back at the start of April..

Forecast for 2024 Hurricane Activity

Forecast Parameters	CSU Forecast for 2024*	Average for 1991-2020
Named Storms	23	14.4
Named Storm Days	115	69.4
Hurricanes	11	7.2
Hurricane Days	45	27.0
Major Hurricanes	5	3.2
Major Hurricane Days	13	7.4
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)+	210	123
ACE West of 60 degrees longitude	125	73

We anticipate that the 2024 Atlantic basin hurricane season will be extremely active.

CSU Hurricane Seasonal Forecasting

Jim & John Hurricane Forecast for 2024

Based on an examination of the scientific data and similarities of the conditions that existed at the beginning of 2021, our best guess is that the 2024 season will have a similar trajectory to that of 2021 concerning the developments of the Hurricane Season.

Weather and Forecasting
Jim and John


The 2024 storm names...

 

[kappykaplan]

This is not good news, Jim and John. Tks for sharing, err forecasting.

 

[JamesG161]

The NHC did make their Standard Pie Chart

They noted Worst ever in the Satellite era.

Dammit Jim...

 

[jssailem]

This is not good news

This is true. While we can not do much to affect the development of such storms, we can prepare ourselves, our family, and our boat to deal with them as best we can should a storm arise and head our way.

The information about this coming season is not "Happy Balmy sit back and sip an adult beverage".

If there were a time to consider being a prepper, this would be indicated by the forecasts being shared. Stay aware and act upon the local NOAA and FEMA information as it is generated.

Knowledge and preparation can help to reduce stress and worry.

 

[kappykaplan]

Knowledge and preparation can help to reduce stress and worry.

 

[Tally Ho]

Having just bought a house in Bonita Springs, FL (gulf side just north of Naples), I am now paying more attention to your forecasts!

My insurance review shows the elevation is 12 Feet! So now I have to worry about global warming and sea levels rising

picking up the U-Haul on Monday and loading up….and hitting the road on Tuesday for the closing on Friday.

Man, retirement is stressful

Greg

 

[JamesG161]

I am now paying more attention to your forecasts!

My cousin lives on the Imperial River in Bonita Springs.

I have much information on levels of water and gauges.

If you are interested, PM me.

Jim...

 

[jssailem]

I have to worry about global warming and sea levels rising

I used to love Mr Wizard..

If the Ice you worry about is sitting in water, what are your thoughts?

 

[Tally Ho]

I used to love Mr Wizard..

If the Ice you worry about is sitting in water, what are your thoughts?

I am guessing that ice, even the stuff above the waterline, is displacing pretty close to its volume of water.so when it melts, it is still about the same volume in the glass ?

I think I am more worried about the polar icecap melting…the parts above the waterline.

Greg

 

[jssailem]

This is an interesting image.

I suspect if the polar ice on the land portion of the polar cap melts, I imagine any where near the equator most likely would be unlivable.

 

[Don S/V ILLusion]

I have an old 1 iron from when that was still a popular golf club. Ever since I put it in the boat, no hurricane has come close enough to threaten her. As they say, “even God can’t hit a 1 iron”.

sorry, old joke.