Thanks Maine! The paper supports the second half of my assertion, which is that when struck, boats with an arresting system that are hit by lightening suffer somewhat less damage. It does not speak with authority to the first half, which is that adding such a system seems to increase your chances of being hit. Phrases such as "according to the above argument" (which means 'because we believe, it thus must be so') and citing percentages of "from 0% to 67%" means that they're still just expressing an opinion on the subject, and not presenting definitive evidence. Science man, show me the science!