You have almost 35,000 cases in your state alone, more then 10 times the amount of any other, do you not get that? or is going to your boat more important?
There are about 460,000 people who live in my county (Onondaga). Of that 460,000 people, only 111 (as of yesterday) have been diagnosed with Covid--19. The probablity of me coming in contact with any one of the is 111/460,000 or .02413%. It is extremely unlikely that I came in contact with anyone who was infected.
The largest concentration of Covid-19 cases in NY is in and around he NYC metro area. The problem in NYC is one of demography. NYC, especially Manhattan is has a higher population density than any other city in the World. From a
recent article by Paul Krugman:
And this measure shows that New York is in a class of its own, with the average resident living in a census tract with more than 31,000 people per square mile. (My own neighborhood has about 60,000 people per square mile.) That’s two-and-a-half times the density in San Francisco or L.A., four times the density of Chicago. |
In contrast to NYC, my county has a population density of about
580 people per square mile. In NYC, there are hundreds if not thousands who live in the same building, using the same elevators, walking through the same lobbies using the same doors. The probability of coming in contact with an infected person is considerably higher. Thus the transmission rates in NYC are much higher there than elsewhere in the state. To help slow the transmission rates, the state and city are considering closing some streets to vehicles so that people can spread out and avoid contact.
The spread of any pathogen is all about numbers and concentrations of people. Frequent contact with others in larger groups in smaller enclosed settings will increase the probability of the pathogen spreading. Throw in some hugging, kissing, and handshaking the transmission rate goes up, add alcohol and a beach party and the rate will accelerate. Mix in some youthful and ignorant "It can't happen to me" thinking and the rate goes up again.
Taking sensible precautions, like sanitizing things, maintaining physical distance, and limiting contact will slow the spread. And that which is reasonable and sensible in my low population density county is vastly different than what is reasonable and sensible in a high density area, such as NYC, Boston, Toronto, Wuhan, and other large cities.
I'm pretty isolated driving in my truck and sitting in my boat. No real difference between that and staying home.