• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

Invest 95L --> Tropical Storm Lisa

JamesG161

JamesG161

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Feb 14, 2014
7,728
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
A small disturbance has appeared in the Caribbean Area

storm_95.gif


TABD is still best tracking model for 96 hours.
________

The Storm seeks HEAT Fuel.


ohc_aQG3_latest_natl-4.gif



Late Season storms information.

OctInfo.jpg


_______________

Hurricane Season is defined by this graphic.

ts_al_car_VSHD.gif


Jim...

PS: @jssailem and I are working on reasons the NHC missed its 2022 forecast.

PSS: It was much lower than forecast:huh:
 
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JamesG161

JamesG161

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Feb 14, 2014
7,728
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
We knew it would happen.

Tropical Storm Lisa

Late Season storms per above Info.

storm_15.gif

___________
Always trying to find the HEAT fuel

ohc_aQG3_latest_natl-4.gif



Hurricane Hunters flying from Keesler Air Force Base , Biloxi MS, leaving now.

Jim...
 
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JamesG161

JamesG161

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Feb 14, 2014
7,728
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Another Reason why Tropical Atlantic Storms are fading in the fall.

SaharaDust.jpg


African Monsoons did not happen so much in 2022.
Jim...
 
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