• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

Weather forecasting and Racing.

jssailem

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Oct 22, 2014
21,207
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
I have been experimenting with LuckGrib as a software (MAC based program) to improve my sailing experiences. I have used it with success on an Atlantic transit in Open Water passaging. It is a remarkable tool with detail that often exceeds the desire of the boat captain.

Which leads me to experiment with it in sheltered waters and racing.
If you have the polars for a boat you can apply them as a data set. If not you can utilize polars from the list in the database for a boat that is similar and then adapt or alter the data to fit your own boat. This is a complex process yet with a bit of experimentation and observation you can have reasonable success.

The choices for what weather grib model to use is equally challenging. My personal choice is the ECMWF model. The attraction of setting a model then repeating the use as the raw data is updated (with the software structure and a fast internet this takes less than 30 seconds) is the speed of review. I found myself wishing the weather source data was more frequently updated. Of course that is ridiculous. You can't update weather before it happens and is recorded... At least not yet.

Here are some images of routing I developed.if you were exiting Deception Passage now Thursday at about 1100 and heading west or north around the San Juan Islands.


Screenshot 2024-05-09 at 11.06.47.png
Screenshot 2024-05-09 at 11.07.54.png


While the routing does not address tidal currents, it does avoid running into land. There is a detailed report created of position and point of sail in 5 minute increments available.
 
  • Like
Likes: kloudie1
May 17, 2004
5,103
Beneteau Oceanis 37 Havre de Grace
Looks pretty interesting. Have you tried qtVLM at all? I’ve used that and the features sound similar, so I’m curious how they compare.
 

jssailem

SBO Weather and Forecasting Forum Jim & John
Oct 22, 2014
21,207
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
No I have not. I’ll look at it.