• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

SUN - fascination

Oct 22, 2014
21,133
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
I find the Sun is an engaging mystery. Be it an Eclipse, the surprising appearance during a bleak PacificNW winter or the break through moment it appears from the fog, I am continuously amazed.

We are now in the 25th solar cycle and the sun is actively stirring her surface gasses. Here is an image from April 11th when this C5.9 eruption was captured.
IMG_0177.png


It was followed by a slow but spectacular long duration event (LDE) just beyond the Sun's northeast limb. The eruption got no flare designation, but peaked at 21:00UTC reaching a maximum intensity of C5.9. The event lasted for a whopping 6 hours from 18:30UTC until 00:30UTC on 12 April. At that time impressive post-eruption coronal loops could be seen towering above the solar limb. The compilation underneath combines extreme ultraviolet (EUV) images from GOES/SUVI 094 (GOES Solar Ultraviolet Imager (SUVI) | NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center ), showing the Sun at multi-million degrees, with those from GOES/SUVI 171 which display the Sun at a temperature of 700.000 degrees. The colors used are respectively purple/blue and yellow. The images are rotated by 90 degrees such that east is on top and north to the right. This provides a better view on the entire east limb, with a lot of dynamics going on in the Sun's outer atmosphere (the "corona"), as shown in SUVI's wide field-of-view. Note there is still a trans-equatorial connection between active regions in the northern and southern hemisphere, as can be gauged from the bridging coronal loops in the background. This was also the case during the previous solar rotation, between NOAA 3614 and 3615, as mentioned in this newsflash (Teamwork | STCE ) and in the online version of this newsitem (Eye pleaser | STCE ).

The strongest flare of this week is a M5.4. The source of the flare was just behind the Sun's
northeastern limb. Find a SWAP movie of the event here:
https://proba2.sidc.be/swap/movies/20240411_swap_movie.mp4

Clearly some of this fascination is routed in my radio experiences. Black-Outs of radio communications was a problem when out on the water and relying on radio signals to assist in navigation/communication.

Here is a link to just what a M5.9 solar flare means, regarding radio communications (specifically SSB HighFrequency - HF disruptions).
 
Feb 14, 2014
7,437
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Solar Cycle 25

Solar_Cycle_25_prediction_and_progression.png


The Source of Sailboat Wind Power and Life on Earth.

Stay tuned for the Sun's impact on ...

Tropical Weather 2024 Season.

Jim...