• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

TD 19 Thoughts

Nov 6, 2006
9,884
Hunter 34 Mandeville Louisiana
Not too concerned. Going to bring us some wind and rain. Doesn’t look like it will be a hurricane, so far, but there will be some breeze. All my canvass is off and dock lines are doubled. I have two extra spring lines and she is rigged to handle about + 6 feet of water.
EDIT: starting to look like a good bit of wind now and currently forecast landfall is right where Katrina went in a few years ago.. Models are currently bending it more easterly; if that continues, it shouldn't make a mess on the Pontchartrain but will impact the Mississippi coast and barrier islands.. Won't be trivial, but doesn't look like a major one.. Keeping fingers and toes crossed..
 
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Oct 22, 2014
20,989
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
Morning Kappy.
Just back from sailing in the San Juan Islands. Catching up a bit.

Appears TD19 has become more. She is currently forecasted as Hurricane Paulette

Forecast is for her to approach Bermuda on Monday.



1600010988697.png
 
Oct 22, 2014
20,989
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
Hurricane Flight Mission Report.

AF307 Mission #2 into PAULETTE
Type: Low-level Reconnaissance | Status: Finished

As of 13:06 UTC Sep 13, 2020:
Aircraft Position: 24.92°N 62.30°W
Bearing: 214° at 421 kt
Altitude: 7721 gpm
Peak 10-second Wind: 20 kt at 198°
Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: N/A

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Oct 22, 2014
20,989
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
Opps... Confusion... TD19 will become Sally... Paulette is different.