• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

STS Melissa <--Invest 93L + Invest 92L + Non-Tropical FL

Oct 1, 2007
1,856
Boston Whaler Super Sport Pt. Judith
The European Models have all 3 of the LOWs combining into a Super LOW by the weekend.

OMG it will Nestor, Olga and Pablo all combined in one.
or NeOlPa or just NOP.:laugh:

Does that mean triple the deductible?
Jim...
Would that be a "...Perfect Storm..."? Hope all the swordfish boats get back in, or go to the Azores.....if they are fishing off the "Flemish Cap...." :)
 
  • Like
Likes: jssailem
Feb 14, 2014
7,399
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Would that be a "...Perfect Storm..."?
Well the TV weather called it...
"Coastal Low of a non tropic nature"

But NOAA calls it

Invest 92L

Although the Florida Strait LOW has not yet combined.

Invest 92L will hang out for a few days, stalled by a HIGH to the North.

Then another HIGH sneaks in from the South to push it up the coast.
Jim...

PS: Will it be named Nestor? no it will be Melissa:doh:
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Likes: jssailem
Feb 14, 2014
7,399
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Finally the 3 LOWs Combine to be...

INVEST 93L

and is borderline Non Tropical Storm Nestor.:doh:

If everyone in New Jersey, went outside, and inhaled facing North and exhaled facing South...
NESTOR :laugh:

I wonder what the Vegas betting odds are?

I bet 2 :beer: to one. Nestor Nestor Nestor.

Jim...

PS: NOAA Graphical Forecast for Northeast
 
Last edited:
Feb 14, 2014
7,399
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
I bet 2 :beer: to one. Nestor Nestor Nestor.
Good thing no one took my bet...whew:p

Melissa Melissa Melissa

____
A B C D.... right M comes before N. duh

Jim...

PS: STS = Sub Tropical Storm Melissa...
PSS: Don't get a case of STS :laugh:
 
Oct 22, 2014
20,989
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
The LOWS have gathered. Her name is Melissa. (Not Nestor, ladies first)

Subtropical Storm MELISSA
As of 12:00 UTC Oct 11, 2019:

Location: 38.6°N 69.7°W
Maximum Winds: 55 kt Gusts: 65 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 995 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1010 mb
Radius of Circulation: 150 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 110 NM
50 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant:
Screen Shot 2019-10-11 at 8.41.10 AM.png
 
  • Like
Likes: JamesG161