We had a nice October sharing a variety of weather patterns that let us experience all of the types of weather we read about in other parts of the nation.
My friend Rufus, has been sharing weather observations since November 1994. He has always tried to look beyond the immediate and give farmers a longer look at the future.
November 2021 looks to be a more normal weather pattern for us up here in the PacificNW.
Enjoy Rufus's look at the crystal ball.
My friend Rufus, has been sharing weather observations since November 1994. He has always tried to look beyond the immediate and give farmers a longer look at the future.
November 2021 looks to be a more normal weather pattern for us up here in the PacificNW.
Enjoy Rufus's look at the crystal ball.
A normal November stormy pattern will continue for the PNW over the next several days. Rain & showers on tap for the weekend, with breezy conditions, at times. By Sunday, the air aloft will be the coldest of the season. Such an unstable atmosphere can set off thunderstorms, small hail and wind gusts. Stay alert, if outside this weekend.
There is the potential for a MAJOR WIND EVENT come late Monday, early Tue next week. A Low may form SW of OR and rapidly deepen before it crosses the 130W line (discussed in an earlier update). If this system does, indeed, develop, as a few solutions suggest, it could produce powerful WINDS, esp over western OR. Maybe exceeding the 50 mph of our last blast in the Willamette Valley. The precise track of big wind producing storms is key, as you know. Right now, models indicating this Low (some do not), track it as a tightly packed storm - center pressure of 976-982 mb - turning N inside the 130W line and coming onshore between northern CA (no big wind in OR, bad in northern CA) and Vancouver Island (big wind in OR and/or SW WA) overnight Mon Nov 8. Heed Nat’l Wx Service statements, should they be posted over the weekend. Moderate-to-heavy rain from northern CA to Vancouver Island. Patron, be prepared.
A second wind producer, but not quite as powerful, is modeled for Wed morning, Nov 10. This one charts ‘landfall' over southern Vancouver Island. Definitely windy & quite WET into Wed night. Veteran’s Day (Thu) could bring on a short rain break before another long-stretch of rain moves into NW WA. Southwest WA, OR & ID may miss out on the rainy part, staying dry (foggy, in places) through the weekend of Nov 13,14.
The week of Nov 15 still looks very wet, blustery early on, then turning drier & colder. Before more rain, wind & below-mountain-pass snow return the weekend before Thanksgiving.
“A little oil of courtesy will save a lot of friction."
-Rufus