• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

TS Fay <-- Invest 98L

Feb 14, 2014
7,400
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
This storm started just south of New Orleans and ruined our July 4 fireworks with rain and little winds [8 knots]. Barometric Pressure on my boat was 1013 mbars.:rolleyes:
Not much of a LOW pressure, but it was moving Counter Clockwise.

What caused this formation?

The Sahara Dry winds hitting the Gulf of Mexico Shoreline resulting in the CCW swirl.
Sahara Dust

I swore to @jssailem that I would not mentions this Storm, as it was passing through Atlanta GA.

But...

Now it will Enter the Atlantic and skim the East Coast as a mainly Rain event.
_____
The Sahara Winds have not affected the East Coast from South Carolina and north.
We have noted that Dolly and Edouard both were Non-Tropical Storms that formed off NC and VA. [Lack of the Drying Air from Sahara]

This storm may get the name...

Fay

Jim...
 
Feb 14, 2014
7,400
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Tropical Storm Fay just formed late today with high winds mainly offshore.

A HIGH pressure front over Connecticut now is preventing the typical Eastward Move out into the Atlantic.

This will move the center along the DelMarVA area with a landfall [so to speak] near New Jersey, late Friday.

Beaches can expect 40+ mph wind gusts and coastal flooding.

The Good news is it passing out of the Warmer Gull Stream Waters and over Cooler Atlantic waters.

This storm is not well organized.
_____
The Hurricane Hunters Just finished this mission
recon_AF301-01BBA-INVEST.png


The Second mission is underway.
The Yellow numbers are buoy and weather stations and an authorized SHIP.
The Red 072 over the SHIP is the Barometric pressure in short form millibars or 1072 mb.

Prepare your boats...
Jim...
 

jviss

.
Feb 5, 2004
6,745
Tartan 3800 20 Westport, MA
Thanks for the report, Jim. What does it look like for coastal Massachusetts, and idea?
 
Feb 14, 2014
7,400
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
TS Fay is better organized, but sill the upward Vorticity is small, meaning not much Energy fueling the storm.
Rains, low area flooding, and storm surge event.

Last HH flight show some Wind increases...

recon_AF307-0306A-FAY.png


Central pressure now 998 mb , but surface level winds are 20 knots. They did not waste a drop buoy on the last HH flight.
The red wind barbs are at their flight level.

Land impact is disrupting the storm also.
Jim...

PS: Remember this storm started South of New Orleans on July 4
PSS: I did note that the station in the Delaware River is showing 30 knot winds.
 
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Oct 22, 2014
20,995
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
Remember this storm started South of New Orleans on July 4
Another episode of the Southern Gulf folk stirring up trouble and exporting it.
Like calling Shrimp - Seabob's....
:poke::cowbell: