The forestay is most likely breaking due to work hardening. The wire flexes, the metal gets brittle, a few wires break. Repeat until the last wire breaks and the forestay parts. That’s what’s happening to break two forestay sin a couple of years.
It's not breaking because i'ts too weak. The loads generated when it's just sitting at the mooring without any sails or heeling are comparatively light, Getting a bigger diameter forestay won't stop the work hardening. You've got to reduce severity of the bending of the wire rope.
You say the forestay broke both times at the gap between the thimble and the first nicopress compression sleeve, right? That's where the bending is occurring. You need to allow it to bend else where rather than between the thimble and the nico -ress compression sleeve. So you have to change something the geometry of the rigging.
Your boat has a rotating mast, with the "jesus shackle" at the mast hound, righ?
Here's a picture from the Mac 26M owner's manual. Is this how your forestay is rigged?
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When there is a lateral (non-axial) load on the forestay, the wire is flexing between the thimble and the sleeve, leading to work hardening. If you can rig it so that the lateral pressure is transferred to the top of the forestay, the cable won't flex repeatedly to the point of breaking individual wires.
I would recommend a couple of approaches to reduce wire bending
1. Figure out a way to limit the rotation of the mast when it's on the mooring. You could bolt a lever onto the mast near the foot, and attach lines to limit the rotation. Google "mast rotation control arm".
View attachment 184464
2. *** Very Important: add an extension plate (or a rigging toggle) to the top of the forestay, similar to the two upper shrouds. This will permit one more axis of rotation that will greatly reduce the degree to which the wire rope is being bent. (you will need to shorten the forestay to compensate for the added hardware).
View attachment 184461