• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

Tropical Storm Debby old Invest 97

JamesG161

JamesG161

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Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
INVESTigation 97 has kicked in the tracking models that show it heading toward England!:confused:

This is the first NON-TROPICAL Atlantic storm potential in my lifetime.
[updated Tropical Storm Debby]
Way North of normal in Central Atlantic.

I am posting this to show all the WIERD Atlantic pattern this season.

As we enter the most active part of 2018 season, the normal areas of storm generation are calm.:clap:
Jim...

PS: Atlantic water temperatures are 1-2°C Cooler than normal.:)
 
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JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Kermit said:
It’ll be carrying my email address with it
Click to expand
Aliens to Hack @Kermit email address on way to SUN.:yikes:
New launch date 8/26/18 so you can still prevent Alien phishing!
_______
With minimum Sunspots, the sampling of Sun's Corona [hic hic:beer:] will be best done then.
Jim...
 
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B

Benny17441

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May 24, 2004
7,131
CC 30 South Florida
El NINO is strengthening this year for a quieter Atlantic. No Ice age on the horizon.
 
JamesG161

JamesG161

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Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Benny17441 said:
El NINO is strengthening this year for a quieter Atlantic
Click to expand
Next year.[2019]
But don't put your "mummy" outfit in storage. @jssailem

Next El Niño discussion possibility on Aug 9, 2018, buy NOAA.

Guess what happens this month too?
Expect a revision in the forecast for the Atlantic Hurricane 2018.

Even if Equatorial Pacific is energizing a bit now, it takes a long time to cycle up the the PNW, for all the snow to begin.
____
All the activity, like Hurricane Hector is de-energizing the Pacific, more than normal.
Jim...
 
jssailem

jssailem

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Oct 22, 2014
21,088
CAL 35 Cruiser #21 moored EVERETT WA
And I was beginning to plan my winter cruises.
Now I need to bring ski’s and Ice skates. It is just not fair.

Oh well. I’ll just have to fill the diesel tanks, fire up the heater, stock up on hot chocolate and schnapps. Maybe I should consider a warmer climate adventure. So many decisions.

What’s happening with the weather?
 
B

Benny17441

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May 24, 2004
7,131
CC 30 South Florida
[QUOTE="

What’s happening with the weather?[/QUOTE]

Global warming; sweltering summers and frigid winters.
 
JamesG161

JamesG161

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Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
jssailem said:
What’s happening with the weather?
Click to expand
The same as always.;)
Changing with the seasons and SUN activity.

The best weather forecast today is about 5 days.:pimp:
My outside temperature now is 29.265944444444447°C ... wait is was 29.165944444444447 °C 15 year ago!!!!:yikes:

When it swelters here...
I sit in the shade and sip a cold beverage.;)
:hijack:
Jim...
 
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JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Invest 97 update by NHC.NOAA...

"A non-tropical low pressure system centered about 1200 miles
west-southwest of the Azores is interacting with an upper-level low.
Although the system is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms to the east and northeast of the center, environmental
conditions are expected to be only marginally conducive for the low
to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves
north or north-northeastward over the next day or so. The low is
forecast to move over cooler waters by Tuesday night, and
development is not expected after that time. Additional information
on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
National Weather Service."

Jim...
 
JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Wow a new formation spot and NOAA needs a new designator.

NON- Tropical Storm DEBBY:confused:

She appears to be heading toward Europe.
Jim...
 
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