• Sailing is all about the Weather.

    Big into the exploration of Atlantic Hurricanes since Katrina came uninvited into his world, James (Jim) Gurley (JamesG161) has followed every Tropical Storm birthed in Atlantic, Gulf and Caribbean waters since. Being a boater, he knows that we often need more time to prepare than we get from the TV weather folk. Jim relies on the science of storm development to share early warning info with friends and fellow boaters.

    Early in 2018, Jim and John Shepard, (JSSailem) started to chat about the weather data available. John asked Jim to help forecast Pacific NW storms, and this morphed into discussions on weather forecasting.

    For John, sailing in the PNW is sometimes hit and miss. One day is ugly, then a string of beautiful days but no wind, followed by a series of blue-sky days and 12 knot breezes. Being ready for those great sailing days means you need to look to the Pacific Ocean and what is brewing. John has been into Pacific NW Weather since the 1970’s when his first PNW November storm hit bringing more than 40 days and 40 nights of continual rain.

    Together we want to share information, new APPs, safety, and thoughts about letting the weather help you. Identify some of the resources for sailors and help prepare you for your next sailboat outing.

    It is far better to go out on the water knowing what to expect in weather terms, than to be out on the water and see dark ominous clouds suddenly appear, unprepared.

Remnants of Hurricane Beryl

JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Tropical Storm Beryl popped up way south. A microwave satellite detected a 5 nm eye.
Quote from the National Hurricane Center.
"Beryl has been a bit of a surprise today, which is not uncommon for
tiny tropical cyclones such as itself."

It should disappear about as fast as it appeared. Upper air winds are unfavorable for much further strengthening.

@capta might get a strong winds in the Lesser Antilles.
"Beryl is still expected to dissipate as a tropical cyclone by Monday before reaching the Lesser Antilles, there will likely be some rain and wind impacts on those islands early next week."
______
Tracking models have kicked in so I won't report much more.
Jim...

PS: It was not the Winds but the EYE detection that got it noticed.
 
  • Like
Likes: Alex111
JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
This definitely a RARE storm.

This year will be a bit Weird as to where these tropical waves appear.

A tropical wave is trying to form up off the North Carolina Coast, but it will bring more a "Heat" relief to the East coast than a storm impact. Bermuda will see more impact while Mainly fast moving up the Eastern Atlantic.
Jim...
 
  • Like
Likes: njlarry and jon hansen
B

Benny17441

.
May 24, 2004
7,131
CC 30 South Florida
Area of disturbance was noticed 3 days ago with a 60% chance of becoming a tropical storm. Yesterday winds reached hurricane strength and today winds clocked at 80 MPH. Current conditions are favorable for intensifying and expanding but by the time it reaches the Lesser Antilles wind sheer will reduce it back to a tropical storm as it enters the Caribbean. Another rain maker.
 
  • Like
Likes: JamesG161
JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Talk about the Storm that wouldn't go away.
Beryl has recovered it "tracking" mode today...

It should follow behind Chris, up the Eastern Seaboard.
Strengthening will be minor.

East Coast Sailing to Bermuda will be rough though.
Jim...
 
  • Like
Likes: jon hansen
Kermit

Kermit

.
Jul 31, 2010
5,657
AquaCat 12.5 17342 Wateree Lake, SC
Please tell me there will be no impact to the Chesapeake Bay Area all next week. Pleeeeeease??????
 
Gunni

Gunni

.
Mar 16, 2010
5,937
Beneteau 411 Oceanis Annapolis
Kermit said:
Please tell me there will be no impact to the Chesapeake Bay Area all next week.
Click to expand
We're actually have some nice breezy conditions over the last week or so and moderate temps, but we go back to seasonal 90deg weather and lighter winds next week, maybe 10kt winds, thunderstorms mid week and NO tropical storms. The crabs are fat, and the beer is cold. Carry on.
 
  • Like
Likes: Kermit and jon hansen
JamesG161

JamesG161

.
Feb 14, 2014
7,418
Hunter 430 Waveland, MS
Kermit said:
Area all next week. Pleeeeeease??????
Click to expand
Looks like a Big HIGH will clear the skies over the weekend and early part of next week.
Perhaps Tuesday will be a bit rainy.
Otherwise Clear...
Jim...

PS: The Remanent will be approaching Nova Scotia on Sat-Sun
 
  • Like
Likes: Kermit
You must log in or register to reply here.

Top Bottom